One Belt and One Road
Initiative of the Communist Party of China (CPP), An Epic Quest to Capture
Dominant Geopolitical Power - to Lead to China Achieving Its Strategic
Political & Military Goals OR Result to Epic Failure and Disastrous Financial Mess
for Some Poor Countries? (Draft ... leisurely typed during a lazy
afternoon)
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(This is from our May 14, 2017 Facebook post, the rest of photos / graphics from our old Facebook posts)
What is this initiative? It's a very ambitious dream of the top officials of the Communist Party of China (CPP), rather vague in its overall goals, to build a series of linked massive logistical infrastructures to more efficiently facilitate transport of goods & people mainly across the vast EurAsian continent.
What is this initiative? It's a very ambitious dream of the top officials of the Communist Party of China (CPP), rather vague in its overall goals, to build a series of linked massive logistical infrastructures to more efficiently facilitate transport of goods & people mainly across the vast EurAsian continent.
In reality, it aims to
serve the economic & geopolitical objectives & goals of the CPP in the
next few decades that includes undermining the national interests of mostly 3rd
World & mid-income countries by first dominating their economies &
making them much more or overwhelmingly dependent to China for trade and
manufactured goods (fake and genuine ones). It is present China's grand &
crass attempt to not just match but surpass the US as the region's, & the
world's pre-eminent superpower.
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The goals of the CPP initiative also include weakening the economic then political ties between the participating countries & the West, easier access to new markets where China can dump its surplus products and even billions of dollars worth of counterfeit & imitation products that now flood markets in the Philippines. Not the least, literally pave the way for China to make inroads to geographically strategic spots, gaining controls of many of it and that can help accomplish its goals of expanding its capability to project military power in the future.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1967862123489783&set=a.1384033165206018.1073741828.100007980430332&type=3
Do we buy the idea? There
are hundreds of cultures, dozens of governments (from sectarian to communist
ones), a myriad of internal & regional conflicts within nations &
sub-regions of Asia & the MidEast. A few countries have populations &
governments with entrenched zero-sum & MAD thinking against their neighbor
countries. There is a universe of potential triggers for conflicts & wars
between many countries & population groups within nations. Once China
pushes for its imagined and expected benefits, economic and then political, the
whole Road & Belt idea collapses.
The CPP's initiative, the
programs & projects, can crumble in its own massive weight, political
complications & costs - especially social costs. Or the CPP's dream come
true, neat & beautiful. But as a long-time student of business, life &
governance, and & an experienced founder of (little) things, Murphy's Law
is something to keep in mind in an ambition to try to re-arrange the present
universe.
Sometimes, the status quo,
shaped by a myriad of natural & other forces, is after all the most ideal
& better scenario or at least the only viable or sustainable one. &
really, sensible & experienced real-world private-sector actors don't
easily & excitedly bet on anything no one completely understands after all,
except the nationalistic leaders of the Communist Party of China.
