First, our deepest sympathies to the families of the victims & the people of France
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I can't publicly post the answer/s to the first question. But to the second one I have a few thoughts (this is first draft)
1 - There is always a first time, as the suicide bombing in Paris demonstrated
2 - There are unconventional threats, and conventional ones that can manifest in unconventional ways. Doctrines, emerging patterns, theories & trends should not get in the way of thinking for high-stakes Black Swan events that can occur
3 - Off-electronic relevant chatter: Creative & innovative ways must be fine-tuned or developed to hear what can be prevented. It is always better to err on the side of caution when calculating probabilities for remote or even rare but high-consequence events
4 - Politicians who play politics in addressing issues on security threats should now pause and rethink. & any serious violent threats to the society (the big violent criminal groups are spared because of their handy potential political utilitarian value & because political campaign donors don't demand for their heads - business folks, including big-time smugglers desire only petty criminality curbed) should never be treated or regarded based on potential political gains, for presidentiables in the Philippines, for example
5 - Piecemeal or interpretation of data off-context must be balanced with the impressions of the endowed or capable human brain's creative abilities to see the relevant bigger picture to address early. Computer algorithms designed by the brains are limited to producing results targeted by the brains who have, to this day, limited understanding of itself (the human brain) especially on how it process information & give meanings to it or on what it sees as relevant
6 - Whatever weakens our society's fabric, like the alleged front groups of China in the Philippines trying to weaken our democratic institutions & exercises of democracy - even gov't - weakens our ability to prevent or deal with major security issues as well
7 - The majority of the Philippine elites should emulate the French opposition group, and the people of France, who at once overwhelming responded to help the victims - and acted in unity. Not in a superficial way, not in a petty way, to feel good, or for publicity or so. So many offered, opened their homes... Taxi drivers ferried passengers to their destinations for free... The opposition key-figure Le Pen not blaming everything to the French President & the Prime Minister & other top officials...
Not like some local officials in some parts of the Philippines after the Supertyphoon (Haiyan) Yolanda, who tried to play ugly politics - in the midst of the frenzy of international agencies to help save lives & address the devastation - for political gains and to make the Aquino administration (who inherited poor coping infrastructures & systems) look bad or even fail even at the cost of the welfare & recovery of the victims, their very constituents
The relevant conducive environment where the IS sprouted, grew & thrived - severe corruption among many government officials, for one - is present in the Philippines. Including the large number of former members of violent armed groups. But this is far from the point I am raising to answer the first question. The answer is also a simple one but which of course can't be found in official reports, or can be missed by even the most objectively, & professionally prepared one.
Photo credit: Tripadvisor (bat999 April 2012)
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Texts in the Photo
We call on entities and personalities who indirectly support violent crime groups or those with demonstrated capability to inflict harm to innocent private citizens to search for reasons in their own hearts to stop doing so
We call on those who support or condone terrorism or violent means to exercise religious beliefs or ideologies, STOP or violence & mayhem just might find its way to your own frontyard too
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